Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on revenue from in-app purchases, revenue from the purchase of apps, and revenue from advertising, as well as the number of downloads for each app category.
Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market data from independent databases and third-party sources, current trends, and reported performance indicators of top market players. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as smartphone users and mobile broadband connections. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.
Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP/capita, level of digitization, and consumer attitudes toward apps.
Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.